It's
the
start of a new
observing
season.
The
last observing
season had
the fewest
dips per unit
of time
compared with
all previous 7
years of
ground-based
observations.
The 0.4 %
features in
mid-September
and
early-October
are likely
statistical
artifacts
(noting that a
2-sigma event
can be
expected
whenever ~ 20
measurements
are present,
and I have 28
measurements
so far this
season). The
only credible
depaaaarture
from
steadiness was
the rise in
brightness
during
December
(2023).
I
expect that
this 17-year
trend (of
shallower
dips) will
continue until
the next big
collision. We
should
consider that
the big
collision that
was recorded
by Kepler in
2011 was a
rare event. We
are currently
"stabilizing"
at lower
levels than a
few years ago
(e.g., the
"clearing" of
late 2019 and
early 2020).
This may mean
that the
clouds of dust
that had been
producing dips
are now spread
out along
their orbit
into a more
opaque but
quasi-uniform
dust belt. I
predict that
during this
observing
season there
will be just
this currently
underway dip
structure.
_______________________________________________________________________
Links
on this web page
Basic info for
KIC846
Recent Behavior
List of observing sessions (for
the 2022 observing season)
Overview of Past 130
and 18 Years
Finder image (showing my ref
stars)
References
Links on other web pages
HAO
precision explained (580 ppm)
DASCH
comment
This is
the 15th web page devoted
to my observations of Tabby's Star for the date
interval 2024.04.17 to
the present.
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Reference
Star Quality Assessment (the 10 best stars out of
25 evaluated)
Basic Info for KIC846
RA/DE = 20:06:15.44 +44:27:24.9
V-mag = 11.85, g'-mag =12.046, B-V = +0.51 (APASS)
Spectral type: F3V
T_eff = 6750 K
R = 1.58 R_sun (1.10e+6 km)
M = 1.43 M_sun (2.84e+30 Kg)
Observing season centered on Jul 24
Recent
Behavior

Figure 1. The 3-week dip in early November is real.
The rise in g' OOT is also real.

Figure 2. HAO observations during the past
two years.

Figure 3. HAO observations during the past 4 years. Notice
the variations of OOT level (dashed lines). OOT at
g' band varies more than at longer wavelengths. This is to
be expected since small particles affect shorter wavelengths
more. Presumably, the OOT variations are due to a more
spread-out band (outer orbit, with fewer collisions). The
dips would then be due to recently created dust clouds in a
different orbit (inner), where collisions are more frequent.
Whereas the dust clouds that produce dips last only a few
weeks, and don't experience significant Keplerian orbit
shear, the dust clouds in the outer orbit last months to
years (due to less radiation pressure), and therefore
undergo significant Keplerian orbit shear. We don't know if
the outer and inner orbits are circular (I envision the
inner orbit to be circular and the outer orbit to be highly
elliptical, as shown at link).

Figure 4a. This
graph includes V band measurements by Barbara Harris (HBB)
and my g' band measurements (offset to achieve agreement
with V band) for this 2023 observing season.

Figure 4b. During the past 7 years two
categories of brightness variations have occurred: a slow
variation (associated with a dust donut) and a fast variation
in the form of dips (produced by small clumps of dust, or
recently-created "dust clouds:). This graph, based on my HAO
g' data (observer code GBL) and Barbara Harris's V data
(observer code HBB) shows both components. The slow component
is shown by a tan trace. Other observer data (not shown here)
was also used to establish the tan trace.

Figure 5. The "Torus Brightening" underway
now reveals that the torus dust cloud consists of only
small particles (circumferences < g'-band wavelength).
This result is derived from the fact that changes in
r'-band are only ~ 40 % of the changes in g'-band, which
is what would be expected if all particle sizes were in
the Raleigh scattering regime (which for g' and r' would
produce a 36 % relationship). For comparison, KIC8446 dips
exhibit variations where r' amplitude is 60 % of g'
depths, meaning that the dust clouds that produce dips are
a blend of small and large particles (both Raleigh and Mie
scattering regimes). For the two most-studied white dwarfs
with dust clouds orbiting in front of them (WD 1145+017
and J0328+1219) all dust particles scatter in the Mie
regime, and are therefore large (based on the observation
that dips have the same depth at all wavelengths that have
been measured).

Figure 6. KIC846 has the smallest particles
of any transiting dust cloud that I know about. The Torus
dust is so small that all particles must be within the
Rayleigh scattering regime (radii < 0.1 micron).
KIC846's dip dust clouds are a mix between Rayleigh and
Mie scattering (radii straddling 0.1 micron). Both WDs
with well-studied transiting dust clouds are missing small
dust particles.