LESSONS FROM SAILING SHIPS:
AN INTRODUCTION TO GROUP SELECTION THEORY
“For now I see peace to corrupt no less than war to
waste.” John Milton, Parasise Lost, 1667
Imagine being a crew member on a merchant ship setting sail for a crossing
of the Atlantic Ocean during the 18th Century. There will be storms and the
constant threat of pirates during the 7-week journey. The sailing is sponsored
by merchants who want the cargo to arrive safely, the ship’s owner who wants
to preserve his investment by the arrival of his ship intact, and the captain
and crew who wish to arrive safely where they will be paid and continue their
lives. All factors favor cooperation by everyone on the ship in the mission
of operating the ship properly on the high seas and delivering its precious
cargo safely to the opposite shore.
Each person on the ship has one or more assigned jobs. Presumably the assignments
are made on the basis of ability for the needed tasks. It won’t matter that
one crew mate is an excellent runner, or hunter, or mountain climber, or
jungle explorer, for on the ship these abilities don’t matter as he will
be measured by his performance of assigned tasks. Each crew member’s fate
will be affected by the quality of his crewmates and the manner in which
they all work together to navigate the ship safely to port. When each mate
discharges his task with competence and cooperation the entire endeavor is
helped, and the prospects for a prosperous outcome for all mates is improved
This situation is a simple way to introduce the concept of “group selection
theory.” During the voyage all people aboard the ship will either live
as a group, or die as a group. This is a more extreme example of a
tribe either entirely living or dying during conflict with a neighboring
tribe, but the concept is easier to grasp using the sailing hip example
because the ocean is deep and unforgiving with a history of taking entire
crews to the ocean bottom.
With the ship analogy in mind let’s consider the tribal situation; after
all, the tribal setting our ancestors had to survive for millions of years.
If a tribe is in chronic conflict with a neighbor tribe the losing tribe
might be decimated. This prospect has a message for individual members who
pride themselves as being proficient in some irrelevant realm. An individual
with a talent for basket design, for example, will have a useless talent
when there are more compelling needs for warrior talent.
So what makes a good warrior? There are the obvious factors of strength,
agility and
other skills. Two other factors deserve special attention: altruism and intolerance.
Altruism is defined as a willingness to forego individual payoffs in order
to achieve a payoff for another individual or group of individuals. Two explanations
are commonly offered to account for the existence of altruism. First, if
the cost to the altruist is small, and the benefit to the other person is
great, and if the interactants have recurring relationships, then it is easy
to imagine that a series of such acts can yield benefits to all participants
if there are several such interactions with opposite sign. (The “sign” of
the interaction refers to which person is the recipient of the altruistic
act.) Notice that this dynamic does not require that the two people have
a close genetic relationship.
The second explanation for altruistic acts requires that the two individuals
be closely related. J. B. S. Haldane famously quipped that he would willingly
give his life for two first cousins, or four second cousins, etc., in answer
to a question about altruism. The calculus of genetic payoffs of this type
is now called “inclusive fitness” and it states that our brains are designed
to recognize when a sacrifice is likely to confer a greater benefit than
loss to our genes, present in our near relatives as well as in oneself.
Finally, there’s a “group selection” theory that can account for altruistic
acts. If a tribe is at risk of being decimated by a rival, and if the home
tribe is desperate, then there’s logic in some individuals making high risk
attempts to turn the tide of battle. It’s not necessary for the hero to be
closely related to his fellow tribesmen since all of them will either survive
or be killed depending on the outcome of the battle. This is analogous to
ship mates dealing with an emergency at sea which requires heroic action
to save the ship and all its crew. The genetic relationship of the sailors
is irrelevant to the need for action.
A heroic warrior can be seen as an altruist. He risks his life in order to
save the tribe because saving the tribe also saves the hero. Genes that predispose
to this form of altruism should be selected for by evolution whenever tribes
live in chronic conflict with their neighbors. The prediction is borne out,
at least in game theory simulations (Choi and Bowles, 2007). Since the altruistic
acts benefit only those in the home tribe it has been referred to as “parochial
altruism” (“parochial” refers to a concern that is narrowly restricted, or
a way of thinking that is “provincial”). The notion that genes predisposing
for “parochial altruism” will evolve when tribes are in conflict is based
on “group selection theory.”
There’s an interesting aspect to the way in which this kind of parochial
altruism is elicited, which has also pointed out by Choi and Bowles (2007)
as well as Wilson and Wilson (2007). It pertains to intolerance, an unwillingness
to overlook individual or group differences. For example, if fellow tribesmen
dress one way and someone is seen dressing another way (not incorporated
into tribal rituals), the non-conformist will not be tolerated. Perhaps there
were instances in our evolutionary past when a brave member of a neighboring
tribe sneaked in to assess tribal strengths and weaknesses in preparation
for later warfare. Such a person would be noticed as a “stranger” who dressed
differently. A tribe whose members were tolerant might merely shrug and leave
the stranger alone, whereas a tribe with intolerant members can be expected
to challenge the stranger and demand an explanation of who he was and what
he was up to. Clearly, if tribes are in chronic conflict conditions favor
genes that predispose to intolerance. Thus, conditions of chronic conflict
should increase the incidence of two types of genes: those that predispose
to “parochial altruism” and those that predispose to intolerance. The game
theory simulation by Choi and Bowles (2007) show that indeed both genes increase
their representation in hypothetical gene pools that are in chronic conflict.
decisively overwhelms opposing tribes that it creates a form of peace that
lasts for several generations. The evolutionary forces that selected genes
for intolerance and parochial altruism are relaxed, and in their place are
new forces that reward the opposite genes. During peace genes are selected
that predispose to tolerance and selfishness. Again, this dynamic was demonstrated
to exist in the simulations by Choi and Bowles (2007). Wilson and Wilson
(2007) as well as Turchin (2007) have suggested this scenario as a way to
understand the fate of empires. Indeed, this is one way to view the decline
and fall of civilizations.
It seems ironic that war and peace elicit genes with opposite traits. How
can these reversals be achieved? Two modes are possible. Either the population
evolves in a way that changes the representation of “genetic types” or the
individual members take readings of an ever-evolving social setting and automatically
adjust their attitudes and behaviors. Both modes are based on gene expression,
but the latter is more sophisticated. Just as the immune system takes readings
of pathogens in the blood and adjusts its activity accordingly, the brain
is capable of reading social situations and adjusting its activity
in an adaptive manner.
There are two important clarifications for this use of the term “adaptive.”
First, something is adaptive if it helps the genes for it to survive better.
Second, the specified change is adaptive (for the genes) provided the current
setting is similar to the “ancestral environment.”
The first clarification conveys the message that behaviors that help genes
survive may not be in the best interests of individual welfare. Consider
the switch from peace time to war time; the individual is expected to become
intolerant and hateful, and he is expected to sacrifice his life through
heroic acts that protect the home tribe. His fellow tribesmen may benefit
by this heroism, but not the hero.
The second clarification has become important in modern times because tribes
have been replaced by nations consisting of members from many genetic backgrounds.
Japan is one of the few nations that has preserved its genetic purity, so
there may be some genetic sense for the Japanese to engage in extreme acts
of heroism (e.g., kamikaze heroics). It is also noteworthy that the Japanese
in peace time have one of the lowest crime rates in the world. For them,
the current environment resembles the ancestral one in important respects.
But for most other nations the populations are so genetically diverse that
the genes are foolish to create individuals willing to become loyal patriots
ready to fight to the death for the Fatherland.
If humans were capable of sanity they would mock patriotism for the pointless
suffering it inflicts upon humanity. Patriotism has always been pointless
from the perspective of the individual, but it is now also pointless from
the perspective of the group. Yet, it cannot be eradicated since it has been
so crucial to genetic survival for so many generations.
What a pathetic situation humans find themselves in. Anyone who mocks patriotism,
who points out that it serves no purpose, will be branded “unpatriotic” –
and their message will not be heard. The need to enforce patriotism has been
so strong for our ancestors that they created a mythical entity to help enforce
it: God. This creation was instigated by the genes, of course, since they
were the beneficiaries of behaviors that secured their survival at the expense
of individuals. Since the modern “state” is an outgrowth of primitive tribes,
governed by chiefs and their helpers, it can be said that the church and
state were meant to work together. The 18th Century struggle to separate
them was motivated by a subconscious realization that individuals were the
victims of this collaboration. The separation of church and state is a historical
aberration, doomed to a short existence. Every humanist should be sad that
the few bastions of 20th Century sanity are doomed to revert to their former
evil state in the 21st.
In trying to understand the rise and fall of empires it will be wise to keep
in mind the possibility that they are related to the rise and fall of genes
that predispose for parochial altruism and intolerance. Other factors deserve
consideration. Most of the forces causing empires and civilizations to rise
and fall are based on evolutionary changes to the genome that require an
understanding of the different levels of evolutionary selection. This chapter
introduced the concept of “group selection.” We must also consider selection
at the level of the individual and the gene. This is the goal of the next
chapter.
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